Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 98.300630 108.570309 119.027892 130.448612 142.545191 154.952093 168.614958
2026-01-11 83.234716 98.652434 115.025979 133.602646 153.989282 175.582638 200.084623
2026-01-18 71.158706 90.237057 111.309640 136.047727 164.037736 194.487437 229.881007
2026-01-25 57.081377 77.858461 101.775168 130.835539 164.706842 202.494004 247.396492
2026-02-01 46.931633 68.791527 94.975306 127.818037 167.125129 211.943253 266.203293
2026-02-08 39.615808 62.265952 90.435968 126.807070 171.365476 223.132407 286.796703
2026-02-15 34.568803 58.002123 88.165452 128.116905 178.052410 236.986422 310.409378
2026-02-22 31.558164 56.066874 88.557095 132.512298 188.352549 255.086536 339.076404
2026-03-01 28.106647 53.098883 87.272513 134.517771 195.522133 269.333008 363.152268
2026-03-08 24.203348 49.009754 84.108953 133.772222 199.000446 278.931402 381.555953
2026-03-15 21.681275 46.694483 83.152684 135.757237 205.827153 292.583199 404.874055
2026-03-22 20.141994 45.735765 83.983146 140.061216 215.609704 309.922002 432.773646
2026-03-29 18.111998 43.803518 83.333093 142.360223 222.899376 324.363331 457.459757
2026-04-05 16.579742 42.535580 83.552958 145.810149 231.711238 340.791416 484.744565
2026-04-12 15.010955 41.010952 83.259018 148.459488 239.435461 355.871859 510.448441
2026-04-19 11.896092 36.178214 77.495661 142.981234 235.976653 356.455653 517.862364
2026-04-26 9.671018 32.655229 73.496104 139.805922 235.447960 360.675882 529.765184
2026-05-03 8.108711 30.204204 71.036699 138.745634 237.715745 368.467147 546.177062
2026-05-10 7.114861 28.820702 70.256143 140.138392 243.365485 380.697886 568.303827
2026-05-17 6.684218 28.683211 71.601929 144.794200 253.649838 399.122479 598.495203
2026-05-24 5.955076 27.685328 71.348818 146.917794 260.318073 412.754095 622.552323
2026-05-31 4.959056 25.780007 69.313614 146.130030 262.742357 420.675434 639.207161
2026-06-07 4.396210 24.919040 69.123840 148.230381 269.318371 434.188463 663.183572